Tag Archives: 84th academy awards

My 75% Success Rate And The 2012 Oscar Winners

After a very long and very predictable run-up, the 2012 Academy Awards are finally over, The Artist and Hugo winning five statues apiece. With Billy Crystal charming enough as host, I have to admit that I found myself wanting more of Chris Rock and that inspired Stiller/Stone pairing.

The night went without too many surprises, The Artist getting five out of the six I predicted after Editing went to The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo which was a truly fantastic moment. As expected, Michel Hazanavicius’ name was pronounced a hundred different ways during the evening and Hugo pretty much cleared up in the technical fields. But trust Lady Meryl Streep to throw a spanner in the works and deprive Davis of what most people thought was a mortal lock by this point. She looked as surprised as we all felt, but you just can’t hate her, can you.

As I laid out in my predictions yesterday, I’d gone with my heart for Visual Effects and Cinematography, with Hugo taking both when I was hoping Lubezki would finally get what is so ridiculously overdue. Luckily, I was spot on with my two Short Film predictions as well as Documentary Short Subject, so that made up for my wrong choices there.

The Weinstein Effect paid off for Undefeated, the group dropping the only F-bomb of the night and consequently getting played off, but that was one of the only real interesting parts of the night. Don’t get me wrong, it was great seeing The Muppets take something home and I rather enjoyed Ferrell and Galifianakis being, well, Ferrell and Galifianakis, but the Oscars as a ceremony could be so much more. And I kind of longed to see what sort of carnage Brett Ratner could have brought.

Also, kudos to Christopher Plummer for getting up the stairs faster than Octavia Spencer and to McCarthy and Byrne for playing Shot Scorsese.

Next year, get Michael Bay on board. He’ll have the nominees shot out of a cannon.

See my predictions here (I need to beat 75% next year) and Becca’s predictions (if you want a bit of a laugh – let’s just say she’ll need to beat 16% of pure guess-work next year) here, both of which were posted before the ceremony yesterday and check out the full list of 2012 Academy Award winners below: Continue reading

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Pencils Down: My 2012 Oscar Predictions

There comes a point where I have to stop tinkering with my predictions and make my peace with, what is this year, a rather unexciting affair. The categories I feel a little uncertain on are those that depend on an Artist sweep and the Short Film and Documentary categories where I haven’t seen all the nominees. I’ll admit I chose The Shore as it has the most clout and I’m well aware my choice to vote against A Morning Stroll may come back to haunt me.

So I’m going to cover my back quickly by mentioning a War Horse/Hugo sound split, the potential of Hugo taking Cinematography if the Academy don’t finally pay their dues to Lubezki and The Artist maybe even snatching Original Screenplay off Woody Allen after its BAFTA win. And yes, I am still gunning for Rise, even after silly BAFTA went for Hugo. And surely Hugo will prevent The Artist from taking Art Direction, right?! It did have 11 nominations after all!

Oh, and lastly, we know how the Academy likes to award period pieces for their costumes. So maybe that’s one The Artist won’t take. But I still doubt it.

I’m going to be tweeting through the whole thing tonight (follow me @iamnotwaynegale), so join me there, or let me know if you disagree with anything I have to say in the comments section. I just strongly disagree with the ‘tick box’ theory. But we all know it happens – we only have to look back to Slumdog.

My predictions are obviously based on the way things have gone throughout this whole Oscar Race, so unless there are any big surprises, which I can’t see happening, this hopefully shouldn’t be too far off the mark.

It also excites me that I won’t have to write the word ‘Hazanavicius’ quite so many times after tomorrow. Check out my predictions below and make sure to check out the tally of how many Oscars I think each film will get right at the bottom of the post:

Continue reading

The 84th Academy Award Nominations

They’re finally here – the 2012 Oscar Nominations. See below for the full list of nominees: Continue reading