There comes a point where I have to stop tinkering with my predictions and make my peace with, what is this year, a rather unexciting affair. The categories I feel a little uncertain on are those that depend on an Artist sweep and the Short Film and Documentary categories where I haven’t seen all the nominees. I’ll admit I chose The Shore as it has the most clout and I’m well aware my choice to vote against A Morning Stroll may come back to haunt me.
So I’m going to cover my back quickly by mentioning a War Horse/Hugo sound split, the potential of Hugo taking Cinematography if the Academy don’t finally pay their dues to Lubezki and The Artist maybe even snatching Original Screenplay off Woody Allen after its BAFTA win. And yes, I am still gunning for Rise, even after silly BAFTA went for Hugo. And surely Hugo will prevent The Artist from taking Art Direction, right?! It did have 11 nominations after all!
Oh, and lastly, we know how the Academy likes to award period pieces for their costumes. So maybe that’s one The Artist won’t take. But I still doubt it.
I’m going to be tweeting through the whole thing tonight (follow me @iamnotwaynegale), so join me there, or let me know if you disagree with anything I have to say in the comments section. I just strongly disagree with the ‘tick box’ theory. But we all know it happens – we only have to look back to Slumdog.
My predictions are obviously based on the way things have gone throughout this whole Oscar Race, so unless there are any big surprises, which I can’t see happening, this hopefully shouldn’t be too far off the mark.
It also excites me that I won’t have to write the word ‘Hazanavicius’ quite so many times after tomorrow. Check out my predictions below and make sure to check out the tally of how many Oscars I think each film will get right at the bottom of the post:
Michel Hazanavicius – The Artist
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE:
Jean Dujardin – The Artist
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE:
Viola Davis – The Help
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE:
Christopher Plummer – Beginners
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE:
Octavia Spencer – The Help
Midnight In Paris
ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:
The Tree Of Life
Hell And Back Again
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
The Iron Lady
Ludovic Bource – The Artist
Man Or Muppet – The Muppets
ANIMATED SHORT FILM:
The Fantastic Flying Books Of Mr. Morris Lessmore
LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM:
Rise Of The Planet Of The Apes
The Artist: 6, The Help: 2, Hugo: 2, Beginners: 1, Rise Of The Planet Of The Apes: 1, War Horse: 1, The Descendants: 1, Rango: 1, The Tree Of Life: 1, Midnight In Paris: 1, The Shore: 1, The Muppets: 1, The Fantastic Flying Books Of Mr. Morris Lessmore: 1, A Separation: 1, Saving Face: 1, Hell And Back Again: 1, The Iron Lady: 1